{"id":42723,"date":"2024-04-02T16:07:12","date_gmt":"2024-04-02T20:07:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/?p=42723"},"modified":"2024-04-02T19:06:12","modified_gmt":"2024-04-02T23:06:12","slug":"ai-and-the-web-developer-job-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/2024\/04\/02\/ai-and-the-web-developer-job-market\/","title":{"rendered":"AI and the Web Developer Job Market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.baldurbjarnason.com\/2024\/the-one-about-the-web-developer-job-market\/\">Baldur Bjarnason<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote cite=\"https:\/\/www.baldurbjarnason.com\/2024\/the-one-about-the-web-developer-job-market\/\">\n<p>We have the worst job environment for tech in over two decades and that&rsquo;s <em>with the &ldquo;AI&rdquo; bubble in full force.<\/em> If that bubble pops hard before the job market recovers, the repercussions to the tech industry will likely eclipse the dot-com crash.<\/p>\n<p>[&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>Not every CEO is predicting the end of programming as a profession. GitHub&rsquo;s CEO instead thinks that programmers will be the primary <em>beneficiaries<\/em> of the introduction and improvement of LLM tools for coding.<\/p>\n<p>[&#8230;]<\/p>\n<p>This world-view assumes that the purpose of software development is the productive creation of successful, defect-free, software projects. LLMs would increase <em>productivity<\/em>.<\/p>\n<p>The alternate world-view, one that I think is much more common among modern management, is that the purpose of software development is <em>churn<\/em>.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<p>Via <a href=\"https:\/\/mister.computer\/@kyle\/112191223643075810\">Kyle Hughes<\/a>:<\/p>\n<blockquote cite=\"https:\/\/mister.computer\/@kyle\/112191223643075810\">\n<p>The overwhelming thing I agree with is: the observable disconnect between software quality and business outcomes is what is ripe for exploitation in the short-to-mid-term with LLMs. We don&rsquo;t need to agree on the efficacy of LLMs to agree on this. If management could reduce quality and cost by an order of magnitude while maintaining or slightly sinking outcomes, wouldn&rsquo;t they?<\/p>\n<p>I think Apple platform developers are more likely to be caught off-guard by the viability of business success on top of bad software. I think we assume the success of iOS in particular is due to software quality but I have always suspected it was a secondary factor, if relevant at all. We could all collectively uphold that illusion because we were the self-selected people that cared <em>and<\/em> did the work. It&rsquo;s hard to tell if it&rsquo;s just our pet concern.<\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n<p>Previously:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/2023\/10\/17\/more-stack-overflow-layoffs\/\">More Stack Overflow Layoffs<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Baldur Bjarnason: We have the worst job environment for tech in over two decades and that&rsquo;s with the &ldquo;AI&rdquo; bubble in full force. If that bubble pops hard before the job market recovers, the repercussions to the tech industry will likely eclipse the dot-com crash. [&#8230;] Not every CEO is predicting the end of programming [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"apple_news_api_created_at":"2024-04-02T20:07:15Z","apple_news_api_id":"85455f08-1eb7-47f1-ba20-9167e387c254","apple_news_api_modified_at":"2024-04-02T20:07:15Z","apple_news_api_revision":"AAAAAAAAAAD\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/w==","apple_news_api_share_url":"https:\/\/apple.news\/AhUVfCB63R_G6IJFn44fCVA","apple_news_coverimage":0,"apple_news_coverimage_caption":"","apple_news_is_hidden":false,"apple_news_is_paid":false,"apple_news_is_preview":false,"apple_news_is_sponsored":false,"apple_news_maturity_rating":"","apple_news_metadata":"\"\"","apple_news_pullquote":"","apple_news_pullquote_position":"","apple_news_slug":"","apple_news_sections":"\"\"","apple_news_suppress_video_url":false,"apple_news_use_image_component":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[1351,101,937,31,30,96],"class_list":["post-42723","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-technology","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-business","tag-hiring","tag-ios","tag-mac","tag-web"],"apple_news_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42723","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42723"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42723\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":42724,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42723\/revisions\/42724"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42723"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42723"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/mjtsai.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42723"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}